PaceAppraiser Update

The VG Online feature can be accessed with the “Reduce” check box and Display button. This is a condensed version of the PA PPs. We’ve had some subscribers ask for this feature because it makes it easier to use with spreadsheets. The original version did not include the pace picture; this one does.

We don’t want to overlook those important pace boxes; the Pace Box Highlighter will help.  Just click on the running style and speed points combo of the horse or horses in the pace picture to create the pace box. If you are printing with a color printer the highlight will be yellow. Laser printers will be light grey.

The Static Race Header freezes the area with the eligibility conditions and pace picture so that it’s visible as we scroll the past performances. No more up and down scroll to access the header information.

Improved scratch function–you can back out mistakes without reloading the file. The scratched horse or horses will have an X listed with its name.

The Form Factor Rating is made up of 8 factors, which includes improving form patterns, jockey/trainer combo stats, single jockey stats and single trainer stats. The higher the number the better. The highest rating is 8; you won’t see many of these but you will see 5s and 6s, which should grab your attention when numbers are no higher than 3. In competitive races, those races with more than 3 CSFR qualifiers, you’ll find this rating a helpful tool with odds assessment. For example, in a recent race the favorite had a FFR of 3 and was 6/5 one minute to post; another contender with a FFR of 5 won the race and paid $11.20. You’ll find situations like this one often, which should answer any questions about anecdotal outcomes. You’ll also see a lot of races with clustered ratings in the 2 and 3 neighborhood, no real advantage. I look for horses with pace advantages, which includes extreme pace and pace box advantages, that have  the best or one of the best FFRs in the race. Please remember that the lower the odds the more risk management we need; the Form Factor Rating will be a useful tool in that area. For example, I will wager on a pace advantaged horse with a relatively low FFR if the odds are excellent – not with mush races and low odds, however. The general rule is this: the lower the odds the higher the FFR should be; the higher the odds then relatively low FFRs are acceptable. As with every handicapping tool, they are the most useful when building contender lists and assessing odds.

January 25, 2010 • Posted in: Updates

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