Pace Advantages with Pace Boxes

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The PA PPs are designed to help players work through the data as efficiently as possible. These Pace Boxes, which uncover horses with a pace match-up advantage, will help you do just that. But they will also help you find overlays to stay or move boldly into the black ink. Don’t let the simplicity fool you. Einstein said that everything should be made as simple as possible, but no simpler. I agree.

It seems most handicappers talk about velocity when the topic of pace comes up – pace figures for example. That’s very important for sure. My pace velocity ratings approach addresses that part of the discussion. But there’s another factor involved, environment, and it’s just as important. A comfortable environment in which to work helps us all do a better job regardless of occupation, and that’s true with race horses as well. The Pace Box method addresses the environment part of the pace discussion. Let’s go through each one:

1. Lone Early Pace Box. The crowd is tuned into this one but there are still overlay opportunities. We won’t overlook them with a pace box drawn.

2. The 2D Early Pace Box. This is the most powerful one. Note that there are only three 2D early pace runners in this pace box. There must be at least one CSFR qualifier with 5 or more speed points and at least 2 2D runners.

3. The Lone 2D Early Pace Box. The second most powerful pace box. A PCZ of 2-4 improves this one’s chances.

4. The Lone Presser Pace Box. One dimensional horses need pace match-ups that are very comfortable for them. This pace picture is ideal for the one dimensional types.

5. The Late Pace Box. Like the lone front-runner this box represents an extreme pace situation. The late pace horses have the advantage when the PPG, Pace Pressure Gauge, is high in both categories, pressure and velocity. The reading here is 31 X 2!

The PaceAppraiser PPs have the Pace Picture embedded at the top of each race. When scratches ocurr the Pace Picture is redrawn and the Pace Pressure Gauge along with the Competitive Speed Figure Range are recalculated. All you have to do is draw the Pace Boxes and look for overlays, the best values, within the boxes. Simple, efficient, and powerful.

For extra power with this method look for horses with a Form Factor Rating of 3 or better and the pace box qualifiers that fit the eligibility conditions perfectly.

March 29, 2010 • Posted in: Articles

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