A Red Red Flag

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Check out the image below. This horse went off at 6/5 but didn’t hit the board. Look for the big red flag.

The betting public loves these types of horses. Read the eligibility conditions and then check those last three races. This is the so-called class horse, right? Now look at the last pace of the race velocity rating (it’s in blue type). A Slow 10! That’s 10 lengths slower than average for that particular final time at Churchill Downs at six and a half furlongs. Now look at the running style (E/P-6) and the horse’s position at the second call. Leading by a head against that slow slow pace. There’s the red flag; a very weak pace velocity rating! When an early pace horse can’t keep things rolling against that kind of pace, throw them out without mercy. No win bet. No horizontal bet. No vertical bet. Save your money. Save your sanity. Look for red red flags.

August 23, 2010 • Posted in: Articles

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