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Small Sample But Interesting Results

Posted By Randy Giles On September 15, 2010 @ 3:31 pm In Articles | Comments Disabled

Here’s some interesting information that I’ve been following this month.

Out of 215 races that have CSFR, FFR3+ and !$ options checked they produced a 2% ROI. Nothing really special there but not bad when it was achieved using NO handicapping at all. The surprise in the money finish (!$) option will be included with the next utility update. Jason and I are working on that now. Let’s see if we can improve it the 2% ROI.

Out of those 215 races that had a PCZ (pace comfort zone rating) of 5.0 or less along with our CSFR/FFR+/!$ options gave us 157 plays and an improved 13% ROI. Better. Let’s continue to see if we can improve it even more.

Out of those 215 races that had the CSRF/FFR3+/PCZ 5.0 or less/!$ combo and the PCZ option that’s included in the present version of the utility added to the mix gave us 92 plays and a nice 33% ROI. Much better.

Remember, no handicapping at all, only those options. Remember too, we’re talking small samples here but it does look interesting. The PCZ 5.0 or less and the !$ options will be included in the next version of the utility.

Here are the options:
1. CSFR/FFR3+/!$ = +2% ROI
2. CSFR/FFR3+/PCZ 5.0 or less/!$ = +13% ROI
3. CSFR/FFR3+/PCZ 5.0 or less/PCZ/!$ = +33% ROI

So, this means to me that horses that qualify on competitive speed figures (they’re basically fast enough in terms of final time to be in the race), and have a form factor rating of 3 or better, and fit the pace comfort zone of the pace setter (a horse won’t fall out of its running style due to pace velocity), and have done their best running no more than 5 lengths off the pace at the second call, and showed enough improvement to finish in the money in the last race did very well in this sample. In other words, the closer to the pace at the second call the better a horse’s chance of winning. That makes sense in any kind of race, turtles included.

I’m still following along. We’ll see how it goes.

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