The PaceAppraiser Form Factor Rating

I’ve been asked how the Form Factor Rating is calculated so here you go. The Handicapper’s Lab does all the work for you.

Form Factor Rating
1 pt for key pace race (fast 5 or more/last pace line)
1 pt for surprise in the money finish out of the last three pace lines
1 pt for a surprise pace race (less than ¾ length last pace line but not the previous paceline)
1 pt for a big win (more than 1 length off pace at 1st or 2nd call and won by three lengths or more)
1 pt for layoff then a good race (in the money) and then bad race last paceline (out of the money)
1 pt for 20% jockey (horse header or footer)
1 pt for 20% trainer (horse header)
1 pt for competitive speed figure (last three races

And here’s the best way to use it:

If a horse is in the top three betting choices then I want a FFR of 3 or better. Lower odds horses must have more information going for them, and that’s what the FFR is designed to do. For example, a 7/5 favorite with a FFR of 1 is a serious underlay. I’m very interested in horses that are not in the top three betting choices but have a FFR 3 or better (more positive information). I especially like 2D Early Pace Box horses with a FFR3+ that are not in the top three betting choices. So the FFR is a good tool to determine underlays and overlays.

January 15, 2015 • Posted in: Articles

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