A Red Red Flag
Print Version
Check out the image below. This horse went off at 6/5 but didn’t hit the board. Look for the big red flag.
The betting public loves these types of horses. Read the eligibility conditions and then check those last three races. This is the so-called class horse, right? Now look at the last pace of the race velocity rating (it’s in blue type). A Slow 10! That’s 10 lengths slower than average for that particular final time at Churchill Downs at six and a half furlongs. Now look at the running style (E/P-6) and the horse’s position at the second call. Leading by a head against that slow slow pace. There’s the red flag; a very weak pace velocity rating! When an early pace horse can’t keep things rolling against that kind of pace, throw them out without mercy. No win bet. No horizontal bet. No vertical bet. Save your money. Save your sanity. Look for red red flags.
How to Find Extreme Pace Horses Fast
Print Version
Click on the these links to see how fast you can find extreme pace advantaged horses with the PaceAppraiser PPs.
Your browser must have Flash plug-in installed to view.
Find Lone Early Pace here.
Find Late Pace here.
More clips to come…
New PA Filtering Program in Works
Print Version
Progress Update: We’re working on the new version of the PaceAppraiser Filtering Program. Here are the options that are in the works:
1. 20% trainer this year & meet
2. 20% jockey this year & meet
3. 20% trainer/jockey combo
4. Big win
5. Lone presser
6. Extreme late pace advantage
7. Pace Comfort Zone rating of 5.0 & less
8. Turf breeding database for first and second starts on turf
9. Top speed figure
10. Top adjusted speed figure
11. Distances (routes & sprints)
12. Maiden Claiming races
13. Maiden Special Weight races
14. Lone early
15. Bullet workouts
16. OX pattern
17. 1R, 2R & 3R (Competitive Speed Figure rankings)
18. 2nd place finish
19. Class drop
20. CP (Lowest class last three races)
21. Morning line ranges
22. Closer at finish improvement pattern
23. Turf races
24. Jockey change
These factors will be added to the 10 filters/factors we have now. Scroll down to read all about the current options. We’ll post detailed instructions soon. Stay tuned.
New Ownership/Usage Plan
Print Version
We want our subscribers to own the software but without all the problems that go with new version updates, download schedules, customer version tracking, new computer installs and the rest. When your log in to your PA software, you’ll know you’re using the most current version available. When we make changes to our database the PPs reflect those changes instantly, on the fly. So we’ve decided to implement a new ownership/usage plan.
Call PaceAppraiser at 615-403-1341. Get your buy-in price today…no more subscription payments, ever.
Make Money with the Wake Up Call.
Print Version
EC+/!$ @ FFR3+
!$: Surprise in the money finish last race out of last three races and fits the eligibility conditions of the race.
F+ Factor
1. !$ (PR+ extra added attraction) (PR+ = Surprise Pace Race – See articles on this site)
Speed Figure Requirements
1. 1R (Competitive Speed Figure Range Qualifier Last Race)
2. 2R (Competitive Speed Figure Range Qualifier Second Race)
Elimination Factors
1. No plays below ML 5/2
2. No extreme seconditis horses
3. No races with E/P8s unless qualifier is P/C type
4. No 7-12 post positions in routes for early pace types
5. No E/P 0-4
6. No PCZ over 5.0
7. No PCZ under 1.0 with more than 3 E/P 5-8s
8. No 7 furlong races or races beyond 1 mile and an 1/8th
9. No claiming 2 life time
10. No maiden races
11. No horses with 2 layoff lines in last three races
12. No long layoffs (over 3 months without trainer stats support)
13. No drops below claiming tag
14. No unsupported turf to dirt speed figures
15. No economically unsound class drops
16. No confirmed losers (2 for 32, etc.)
17. No repeated class drops without improvement
18. No cheaper tracks than host track
19. No distance problems (sprinter stretching out without EC support)
New Owner/Usage Plan for PaceAppraiser PPs Service
Print Version
New Owner/Usage Plan for PaceAppraiser PPs Service:
Technically, PaceAppraiser can be best described as “cloud” computing. There’s nothing to install*, simply access our software on the Internet at www.paceappraiser.com and you’re ready to go from any computer anywhere…think Google Docs or Microsoft Skydrive.
So we’re been thinking…
We want our subscribers to own the software but without all the problems that go with new version updates, download schedules, customer version tracking, new computer installs and the rest. When your log in to your PA software, you’ll know you’re using the most current version available. When we make changes to our database the PPs reflect those changes instantly, on the fly. So we’ve decided to implement a new ownership/usage plan.
Here’s how it works…
New subscribers/buyers: Subscribe/buy for $19.95 per month for 18 months and the service is FREE after that. You bought it. We take care of the rest just like, well, Google.
Current subscribers: All current subscribers will have their paid months credited to the 18 month buy-in limit. For example, if you’ve been a subscriber for 12 months then you only have 6 months to go and then the service is free…no more monthly subscription fees, ever. (Please note: If you’ve been with us for over 18 months, your service is now free. We’ll notify about the particulars.)
If you were a subscriber in the past: No problem. Past subscription payments will be credited to the 18 month buy-in limit. Simply subscribe again. We’ll let you know your buy-in date, which will reflect the months you’ve already paid.
Please note: New subscribers, current subscribers or past subscribers may decide to make a one time buy-in payment to finish the 18 month limit. Let us know and we’ll set that up for you.
Don’t forget: Subscribers/Owners will also receive all new and updated PA filtering utilities for free.
I use the PA PPs every day, so PaceAppraiser will be around, and improved, for a long time to come. Jason, my son the programmer, and I are dedicated to the PaceAppraiser Project. We hope you like our new plan.
If you have any questions, I’ll be more than happy to answer them.
Thank you,
Randy Giles
randy@paceappraiser.com
*Java version 6 must be installed. Most computers are set to go out of the box. Macs must have Intel processors.
Hemingway and Racing
Print Version
HEMINGWAY
You go to the races?
INTERVIEWER
Yes, occasionally.
HEMINGWAY
Then you read the Racing Form…There you have the true art of fiction.
—Conversation in a Madrid café, May 1954
